Belgium are currently fighting for top spot in Group 4 of Ligue A. In this edition of the tournament, the team have only lost in the first leg to the Netherlands (1:4). The Red Devils have since picked up points against Poland (6:1 and 1:0) and 1:1 against Wales. Roberto Martinez’s side are second on the table, three points adrift of the Netherlands, with a chance of overtaking them.
Before the setback against the Netherlands, the Belgians lost for the last time a year ago. At the time, the team managed to reach the semi-finals of the Nations League A play-offs, where they were defeated by France 3:2. In the third-place match, Martinez’s men also lost to Italy (1:2). Since then, the team has not lost in several World Cup 2022 qualifying games and in friendly matches.
Wales have a far worse record in recent games, compared to Belgium. The team has not won a single round of the Nations League group stage. Only one point was scored against Belgium (1:1). In three other encounters, the Welsh suffered defeats – 1:2 with Poland, 1:2 and 2:3 with the Netherlands. So Rob Page’s side are unlikely to be successful in the group stage as they sit in fourth place with one point under their belt.
Before the summer games in the Nations League, Wales had not lost so often. The team managed to reach the final round of the 2022 World Cup, beating Austria (2:1) and Ukraine (1:0) in the play-offs. Prior to that, the Dragons managed to play out a 1-1 draw with Belgium in the group stages of the main international tournament. In the rest of the fixtures, Page’s men were also unbeaten.
We don’t think the visitors have a chance in this match. Wales are without a single win in their Ligue A group. The Welsh are unlikely to beat one of the favourites in the quartet now. After all, Belgium are still in contention for first place, which is still held by the Netherlands. Therefore, the Red Devils will be looking for a confident win.
Bet on an Asian handicap (-2) on Belgium. On the line at PariPesa, this outcome is priced at 2.85
We are also confident of a big score in this encounter. The Belgians are very likely to win by a few goals. However, Wales are unlikely to sit on the defensive for the full 90 minutes either. A lack of wins in this Nations League group stage will only motivate the Dragons, we think. We believe we can expect a productive encounter here.
We also bet on a total of more than three goals. The bookmaker quotes this one at 2.29